Samir Mathur
Chair of the Portfolio Solutions Committee
Mario DiVito
Investment director
Stanley Moy
Multi-asset investment specialist
Markets continued to climb as investors absorbed the rate-cut decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve in mid-September, election uncertainty and the potential economic risks. The S&P 500 Index rose 6%, taking year-to-date gains to 22%. Among U.S. equity sectors, information technology and communication services stocks lagged the market this quarter in a reversal from earlier this year, while real estate and utilities stocks rebounded 19% and 17%, respectively. In another shift from earlier in the year, value stocks, as measured by the Russell 1000 Value Index, rose 9%, compared with a 3% gain for the Russell 1000 Growth Index for the quarter. International equity stocks, as measured by the MSCI All Country World Index (ACWI) ex USA, outpaced the S&P 500, rising 8% for the quarter. The MSCI ACWI ex USA has climbed 14% so far this year.
Bond markets rallied, with the Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index and the Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield 2% Issuer Capped Index each rising over 5%. The Federal Reserve reduced its benchmark interest rate for the first time since 2020 with a 50-basis-point cut as inflation eased. The Fed indicated that it would remain flexible on the extent and timing of future moves based on economic data.
(All comments about model composite returns versus the benchmark are true on a gross and net-of-fees basis, unless otherwise noted.)
American Funds Global Growth Model Portfolio had positive absolute returns but lagged its benchmark.
American Funds Growth Model Portfolio had positive absolute returns but trailed its benchmark.
American Funds Moderate Growth Model Portfolio had positive absolute returns but lagged its benchmark.
American Funds Growth and Income Model Portfolio outpaced its benchmark on a gross return basis, but net returns lagged.
American Funds Moderate Growth and Income Model Portfolio led its benchmark on a gross basis, but net returns trailed.
American Funds Conservative Growth and Income Model Portfolio posted positive absolute and relative returns, helped by dividend payers.
American Funds Conservative Income and Growth Model Portfolio had higher gross returns than the benchmark, but net returns lagged.
American Funds Conservative Income Model Portfolio outpaced its benchmark.
American Funds Preservation Model Portfolio fared better than the benchmark on a gross basis but net returns trailed.
American Funds Retirement Income models had positive absolute returns and outpaced their benchmarks.
Tax-aware model portfolios
1. What are the new ETF allocations in the tax-aware models, and how does the team think about tradeoffs in portfolio construction?
First of all, let’s step back to acknowledge that changes in our models are part of a conscious evolution to expand our offerings and evaluate investments on an ongoing basis to address long-term client goals. In the tax-aware models program, we started introducing Capital Group ETFs in September 2023. The new additions this quarter are part of those ongoing refinements in tax-aware models to include ETFs where appropriate.
In general, equity ETFs have been more tax-efficient than their mutual fund counterparts, given their ability to defer capital gain distributions. In tax-aware models, we don’t typically use taxable fixed income and multi-asset funds that include taxable bonds. Similarly, we make much less use of higher dividend equities compared to our core models but do invest in more tax-efficient dividend funds in the form of our dividend ETFs. Recently, we have shifted some of our allocations from Capital World Growth and Income Fund given the potential for better tax-efficiency in equity ETFs.
But the ETF is not a one-to-one replacement for the mutual fund from an investment perspective. We evaluate the investment differences in the ETF and mutual fund and sometimes need to make other adjustments in the portfolios to continue targeting the appropriate strategic asset allocation. CGDG — Capital Group Dividend Grower ETF has been a higher dividend-paying fund than Capital World Growth and Income Fund and also has had slightly less volatility and equity-beta. As a result, we made some other adjustments in portfolios by adding slightly more to growth-oriented equities.
Replacing the Tax-Exempt Bond Fund of America® (TEBFA) with CGMU — Capital Group Municipal Income ETF is another example. CGMU has slightly shorter fixed income duration than TEBFA but has higher allocations to high-yielding municipal bonds and more flexibility to allocate to them. This swap slightly changed duration and credit profiles in a way that required other minor adjustments in portfolios.
2. How does the team evaluate ETFs relative to mutual funds?
We treat Capital Group ETFs like any other new fund launches and do a proper review before using them in our portfolios. ETFs may differ from their corresponding mutual funds, where applicable.
But if a new ETF is based on an existing strategy with a long track record, that really helps with our analysis. ETFs that do not have a direct reference strategy often are variations of existing strategies with minor differences. For this reason, understanding the similarities and differences between these strategies allows us to better understand their expected behavior in model portfolios. Over time, we monitor all of the funds to make sure we are using the ones that best fit model portfolio objectives and tend to behave as anticipated.
3. How do the PSC and CSG adapt their allocations process for tax-aware models and evaluate tax efficiency?
One major feature of the multi-objective optimization (MOO) process is that we are able to tailor optimization to a wide range of investor goals and constraints beyond risk and return. This includes modifying the MOO process for tax-sensitive models via tax-aware multi-objective optimization (TAMOO, for short.) In TAMOO, we adjust capital market assumptions (CMAs) and success metrics for tax-aware models. Success metrics for tax-aware models include a combination of post-tax returns, standard deviation, maximum drawdowns and yield. The TAMOO process naturally reduces the expected returns of higher income taxable fixed income and higher yielding equities the most.
From there, the CSG and PSC identify which ETFs and mutual funds to use in each model. This is based on ongoing evaluation of portfolio characteristics across American Funds mutual funds and Capital Group ETF offerings. Specifically, the CSG evaluates the tax efficiency of ETFs and mutual funds via metrics such as Morningstar’s Tax-Cost Ratio. Our final allocation changes are based on discussions about tradeoffs within CSG and PSC.
We continue to recognize the potential for ongoing volatility, heightened geopolitical risk and uncertainty about the timing and extent of future rate cuts as Fed officials keep a watchful eye on economic data. At the same time, we think this is a time of market broadening, with the current backdrop offering attractive opportunities relative to specific investor goals. This includes:
The PSC and CSG regularly evaluate strategic asset allocation for models, adjusting as needed, while underlying fund managers continue to take an active approach to company and security-specific opportunities across regions and sectors.
Model portfolios are only available through registered investment advisers. This content is intended for registered investment advisers and their clients.
Results as of September 30, 2024. Past results are not predictive of results in future periods. Current and future results may be lower or higher than those shown. Prices and returns will vary, so investors may lose money. Investing for short periods makes losses more likely. For current information and month–end results, visit capitalgroup.com. Composite returns reflect changes, if any, in the underlying fund allocations over the model’s lifetime. Underlying funds may have been added or removed during a model’s lifetime. Rebalancing is performed in accordance with the investment adviser’s strategic asset allocation views for the model. Please refer to capitalgroup.com/advisor/investments/ model-portfolios.htm for historical underlying fund allocations. Composite net results are calculated by subtracting an annual 3% fee (which is equal to or higher than the highest actual model portfolio wrap fee charged by a program sponsor) from the gross composite monthly returns, which are net of underlying mutual fund fees and expenses. Composite gross results are net of underlying mutual fund fees and expenses and gross of any advisory fees charged by model providers. Results would have been lower if such fees had been deducted. Results and results-based figures shown are preliminary and subject to change.
Investments are not FDIC–insured, nor are they deposits of or guaranteed by a bank or any other entity, so they may lose value.
Contribution to returns commentary is based on representative accounts of the model composites and is net of all fees and expenses applicable to the underlying funds and gross of any advisory fee charged by model providers. The net of fees composite results shown illustrate the impact of fees on the portfolio. Attribution for underlying ETFs is based on market price.
Investment results assume all distributions are reinvested and reflect applicable fees and expenses. Returns for one year or less are not annualized, but calculated as cumulative total returns.
When applicable, investment results reflect fee waivers and/or expense reimbursements, without which results would have been lower. Read details about how waivers and/or reimbursements affect the results for each fund. View results and yields without fee waiver and/or expense reimbursement.
There may have been periods when the results lagged the index(es). Certain market indexes are unmanaged and, therefore, have no expenses. Investors cannot invest directly in an index.
Model portfolios are subject to the risks associated with the underlying funds in the model portfolio. Investors should carefully consider investment objectives, risks, fees and expenses of the funds in the model portfolio, which are contained in the fund prospectuses. Investing outside the United States involves risks, such as currency fluctuations, periods of illiquidity and price volatility. These risks may be heightened in connection with investments in developing countries. Smaller company stocks entail additional risks, and they can fluctuate in price more than larger company stocks. The return of principal for bond funds and for funds with significant underlying bond holdings is not guaranteed. Fund shares are subject to the same interest rate, inflation and credit risks associated with the underlying bond holdings. Lower rated bonds are subject to greater fluctuations in value and risk of loss of income and principal than higher rated bonds. The use of derivatives involves a variety of risks, which may be different from, or greater than, the risks associated with investing in traditional cash securities, such as stocks and bonds.
A nondiversified fund has the ability to invest a larger percentage of assets in the securities of a smaller number of issuers than a diversified fund. As a result, poor results by a single issuer could adversely affect fund results more than if the fund were invested in a larger number of issuers. See the applicable prospectus for details.
Bond ratings, which typically range from AAA/Aaa (highest) to D (lowest), are assigned by credit rating agencies such as Standard & Poor's, Moody's and/or Fitch, as an indication of an issuer's creditworthiness. If agency ratings differ, the security will be considered to have received the highest of those ratings, consistent with the portfolio's investment policies. Securities in the Unrated category have not been rated by a rating agency; however, the investment adviser performs its own credit analysis and assigns comparable ratings that are used for compliance with applicable investment policies.
For more information about the risks associated with each investment, go to its detailed information page or read the prospectus, if applicable.
Portfolios are managed, so holdings will change.
Model portfolios are provided to financial intermediaries who may or may not recommend them to clients. These portfolios consist of an allocation of funds for investors to consider and are not intended to be investment recommendations. The portfolios are asset allocations designed for individuals with different time horizons investment objectives and risk profiles. Allocations may change and may not achieve investment objectives. If a cash allocation is not reflected in a model, the intermediary may choose to add one. Capital Group does not have investment discretion or authority over investment allocations in client accounts. Investors should talk to their financial professional for information on other investment alternatives that may be available. In making investment decisions, investors should consider their other assets, income and investments. Visit capitalgroup.com for current allocations.
The underlying funds for each model portfolio as of September 30, 2024, are as follows (allocations may not equal 100% due to rounding):
American Funds Global Growth Model Portfolio: Growth (85%): SMALLCAP World Fund 15%, The New Economy Fund 15%, EuroPacific Growth Fund 8%, The Growth Fund of America 15%, New Perspective Fund 20%, New World Fund 7%, American Funds Global Insight Fund 5%; Growth and income (15%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 15%.
American Funds Growth Model Portfolio: Growth (80%): SMALLCAP World Fund 15%, The New Economy Fund 10%, The Growth Fund of America 25%, New Perspective Fund 15%, AMCAP Fund 15%; Growth and income (20%): Fundamental Investors 10%, The Investment Company of America 10%.
American Funds Moderate Growth Model Portfolio: Growth (45%): SMALLCAP World Fund 10%, The Growth Fund of America 20%, AMCAP Fund 10%, American Funds Global Insight Fund 5%; Growth and income (35%): Fundamental Investors 10%, Capital World Growth and Income Fund 15%, The Investment Company of America 10%; Balanced (20%): American Funds Global Balanced Fund 10%, American Balanced Fund 10%.
American Funds Growth and Income Model Portfolio: Growth (20%): SMALLCAP World Fund 8%, The Growth Fund of America 7%, American Funds Global Insight Fund 5%; Growth and income (45%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 15%, The Investment Company of America 20%, Washington Mutual Investors Fund 10%; Equity Income (10%): Capital Income Builder 10%; Balanced (10%): American Balanced Fund 10%; Bond (15%): The Bond Fund of America 5%, American Funds Strategic Bond Fund 5%, American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund 5%.
American Funds Moderate Growth and Income Model Portfolio: Growth (10%): SMALLCAP World Fund 5%, New Perspective Fund 5%; Growth and income (25%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 10%, Washington Mutual Investors Fund 15%; Equity Income: (10%): The Income Fund of America 10%; Balanced (40%): American Funds Global Balanced Fund 15%, American Balanced Fund 25%; Bond (15%): The Bond Fund of America 5%, American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund 5%, American Funds Strategic Bond Fund 5%.
American Funds Conservative Growth and Income Model Portfolio: Growth and income (27%): Washington Mutual Investors Fund 10%, American Mutual Fund 10%, Capital World Growth and Income Fund 7%; Equity Income (30%): Capital Income Builder 15%, The Income Fund of America 15%; Bond (43%): American High-Income Trust 10%, American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund 15%, The Bond Fund of America 15%, American Funds Emerging Markets Bond Fund 3%.
American Funds Conservative Income and Growth Model Portfolio: Growth and income (20%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 5%, American Mutual Fund 15%; Equity income (10%): The Income Fund of America 10%; Balanced (15%): American Funds Global Balanced Fund 5%, American Balanced Fund 10%; Bond (55%): American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund 14%, American Funds Strategic Bond Fund 10%, The Bond Fund of America 19%, Intermediate Bond Fund of America 10%, American Funds Emerging Markets Bond Fund 2%.
American Funds Conservative Income Model Portfolio: Growth and income (10%): American Mutual Fund 10%; Equity Income (10%): The Income Fund of America 10%; Balanced (5%): American Balanced Fund 5%; Bond (75%): The Bond Fund of America 20%, American Funds Strategic Bond Fund 10%, American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund 5%, Intermediate Bond Fund of America 25%, Short-Term Bond Fund of America 15%.
American Funds Preservation Model Portfolio: Bond (100%): Intermediate Bond Fund of America 45%, Short-Term Bond Fund of America 55%.
American Funds Retirement Income Model Portfolio — Enhanced: Growth (5%): AMCAP Fund 5%; Growth and income (15%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 10%, American Mutual Fund 5%; Equity Income (38%): Capital Income Builder 18%, The Income Fund of America 20%; Balanced (25%): American Funds Global Balanced Fund 5%, American Balanced Fund 20%; Bond (17%): American High-Income Trust 5%, American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund 7%, The Bond Fund of America 5%.
American Funds Retirement Income Model Portfolio — Moderate: Growth and income (12%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 7%, American Mutual Fund 5%; Equity Income (38%): Capital Income Builder 18%, The Income Fund of America 20%; Balanced (20%): American Funds Global Balanced Fund 5%, American Balanced Fund 15%, Bond (30%): American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund 9%, The Bond Fund of America 8%, American Funds Strategic Bond Fund 6%, U.S. Government Securities Fund 7%.
American Funds Retirement Income Model Portfolio — Conservative: Growth and income (7%): American Mutual Fund 7%; Equity income (33%): Capital Income Builder 18%, The Income Fund of America 15%; Balanced (12%): American Funds Global Balanced Fund 4%, American Balanced Fund 8%; Bond (48%): American Funds Inflation Linked Bond Fund 5%, The Bond Fund of America 15%, American Funds Strategic Bond Fund 10%, American Funds Multi-Sector Income Fund 8%, Intermediate Bond Fund of America 5%, U.S. Government Securities Fund 5%.
American Funds Tax-Aware Moderate Growth Model Portfolio: Growth (44%): SMALLCAP World Fund 10%, CGGR − Capital Group Growth ETF 25%, CGGO − Capital Group Global Growth Equity ETF 4%; American Funds Global Insight Fund 5% Growth and income (45%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 20%; CGUS − Capital Group Core Equity ETF 25%; Bond (11%): CGMU − Capital Group Municipal Income ETF 6%, American High-Income Municipal Bond Fund 5%.
American Funds Tax-Aware Growth and Income Model Portfolio: Growth (20%): SMALLCAP World Fund 8%, CGGR − Capital Group Growth ETF 7%, CGGO − Capital Group Global Growth Equity ETF 5%; Growth and income (60%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 20%, CGUS − Capital Group Core Equity ETF 25%, CGDV − Capital Group Dividend Value ETF 15%; Bond (20%): American High-Income Municipal Bond Fund 10%, CGMU − Capital Group Municipal Income ETF 10%.
American Funds Tax-Aware Moderate Growth and Income Model Portfolio: Growth (10%): SMALLCAP World Fund 5%, CGGO − Capital Group Global Growth Equity ETF 5%; Growth and income (55%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 15%, CGUS − Capital Group Core Equity ETF 15%, CGDV — Capital Group Dividend Value ETF 20%, CGDG — Capital Group Dividend Growers ETF 5%; Bond (35%): American High-Income Municipal Bond Fund 20%, CGMU — Capital Group Municipal Income ETF 15%.
American Funds Tax-Aware Conservative Growth and Income Model Portfolio: Growth and income (51%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 15%, CGDV − Capital Group Dividend Value ETF 16%, CGDG − Capital Group Dividend Growers ETF 10%, American Mutual Fund 10%; Bond (49%): American High-Income Municipal Bond Fund 25%, CGMU − Capital Group Municipal Income ETF 20%, CGSM − Capital Group Short Duration Municipal Income ETF 4%.
American Funds Tax-Aware Moderate Income Model Portfolio: Growth and income (40%): Capital World Growth and Income Fund 10%, CGDV − Capital Group Dividend Value ETF 15%, American Mutual Fund 10%, CGDG − Capital Group Dividend Growers ETF 5%; Bond (60%): American High-Income Municipal Bond Fund 20%, CGMU − Capital Group Municipal Income ETF 25%, CGSM − Capital Group Short Duration Municipal Income ETF 10%, American Funds Short-Term Tax-Exempt Bond Fund 5%.
American Funds Tax-Aware Conservative Income Model Portfolio: Growth and income (19%): CGDG − Capital Group Dividend Growers ETF 5%, CGDV − Capital Group Dividend Value ETF 9%, American Mutual Fund 5%; Bond (81%): American High-Income Municipal Bond Fund 15%, CGMU − Capital Group Municipal Income ETF 25%, CGSM − Capital Group Short Duration Municipal Income ETF 25%, American Funds Short-Term Tax-Exempt Bond Fund 16%.
American Funds Tax-Exempt Preservation Model Portfolio: Bond (100%): Limited-Term Tax-Exempt Bond Fund of America 40%, CGSM — Capital Group Short Duration Municipal Income ETF 30%, American Funds Short-Term Tax-Exempt Bond Fund 30%.
Model portfolio index/index blends
Global Growth — MSCI ACWI.
Growth — Index Blend: 75% S&P 500 and 25% MSCI ACWI ex USA indexes.
Moderate Growth — Index Blend: 60% S&P 500, 25% MSCI ACWI ex USA and 15% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate indexes.
Growth and Income — Index Blend: 50% S&P 500, 25% MSCI ACWI ex USA and 25% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate indexes.
Moderate Growth and Income — Index Blend: 45% S&P 500, 35% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate and 20% MSCI ACWI ex USA indexes.
Conservative Growth and Income — Index Blend: 35% S&P 500, 35% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate, 15% MSCI ACWI ex USA and 15% Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield 2% Issuer Capped indexes.
Conservative Income and Growth — Index Blend: 25% S&P 500, 65% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate and 10% MSCI ACWI ex USA indexes.
Retirement Income portfolios — S&P Target Date Retirement Income index.
Conservative Income — Index Blend: 50% Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index, 30% Bloomberg U.S. Government/Credit (1-3 years, ex BBB) Index and 20% S&P 500 indexes.
Tax-Aware Moderate Growth — Index Blend: 60% S&P 500, 25% MSCI ACWI ex USA and 15% Bloomberg Municipal Bond indexes.
Preservation — Bloomberg 1-5 Years U.S. Government/Credit A+ Index.
Tax-Aware Growth and Income — Index Blend: 25% Bloomberg Municipal Bond, 50% S&P 500 and 25% MSCI ACWI ex USA indexes.
Tax-Aware Moderate Growth and Income — Index Blend: 45% S&P 500, 35% Bloomberg Municipal Bond and 20% MSCI ACWI ex USA indexes.
Tax-Aware Conservative Growth and Income — Index Blend: 35% Bloomberg Municipal Bond, 35% S&P 500, 15% Bloomberg High Yield Municipal and 15% MSCI ACWI ex USA indexes.
Tax-Aware Moderate Income — Index Blend: 65% Bloomberg Municipal Bond, 25% S&P 500 and 10% MSCI ACWI ex USA indexes.
Tax-Aware Conservative Income — Index Blend: 40% Bloomberg Municipal Bond, 40% Bloomberg Municipal 1–7 Years Blend and 20% S&P 500 indexes.
Tax-Exempt Preservation — Bloomberg Municipal Bond 1–7 Years Blend.
The index blends are rebalanced monthly. MSCI index results reflect dividends gross of withholding taxes through 12/31/00 and dividends net of withholding taxes thereafter. The indexes are unmanaged, and their results include reinvested dividends and/or distributions but do not reflect the effect of sales charges, commissions, account fees, expenses or U.S. federal income taxes. Investors cannot invest directly in an index. There have been periods when the model portfolio has lagged the index/index blend.
S&P 500 Index is a market capitalization–weighted index based on the results of approximately 500 widely held common stocks.
The S&P Target Date Retirement Income Index, a component of the S&P Target Date Index Series, has an asset allocation and glide path that represent a market consensus across the universe of target date fund managers.
The S&P 500 Index and S&P Target Date Retirement Income Index are products of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC and/or its affiliates and has been licensed for use by Capital Group. Copyright © 2024 S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC, a division of S&P Global, and/or its affiliates. All rights reserved. Redistribution or reproduction in whole or in part is prohibited without written permission of S&P Dow Jones Indices LLC.
MSCI All Country World Index is a free float-adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure equity market results in the global developed and emerging markets, consisting of more than 40 developed and emerging market country indexes. Results reflect dividends gross of withholding taxes through December 31, 2000, and dividends net of withholding taxes thereafter.
MSCI All Country World ex USA Index is a free float–adjusted market capitalization weighted index that is designed to measure equity market results in the global developed and emerging markets, excluding the United States. The index consists of more than 40 developed and emerging market country indexes. Results reflect dividends gross of withholding taxes through December 31, 2000, and dividends net of withholding taxes thereafter.
MSCI has not approved, reviewed or produced this report, makes no express or implied warranties or representations and is not liable whatsoever for any data in the report. You may not redistribute the MSCI data or use it as a basis for other indices or investment products.
Bloomberg U.S. Aggregate Index represents the U.S. investment–grade fixed–rate bond market.
Bloomberg U.S. Corporate Investment Grade Index represents the universe of investment grade, publicly issued U.S. corporate and specified foreign debentures and secured notes that meet the specified maturity, liquidity, and quality requirements.
Bloomberg U.S. Corporate High Yield 2% Issuer Capped Index covers the universe of fixed–rate, non–investment–grade debt. The index limits the maximum exposure of any one issuer to 2%.
Bloomberg High Yield Municipal Bond Index is a market–value–weighted index composed of municipal bonds rated below BBB/Baa.
Bloomberg Municipal Bond Index is a market–value–weighted index designed to represent the long–term investment–grade tax–exempt bond market.
Bloomberg Municipal Bond 1–7 Year Blend Index is a market–value–weighted index that includes investment–grade tax–exempt bonds with maturities of one to seven years.
Bloomberg 1-3 Year U.S. Government/Credit Index is a market-value weighted index that tracks the total return results of fixed-rate, publicly placed, dollar-denominated obligations issued by the U.S. Treasury, U.S. government agencies, quasi-federal corporations, corporate or foreign debt guaranteed by the U.S. government, and U.S. corporate and foreign debentures and secured notes that meet specified maturity, liquidity and quality requirements, with maturities of one to three years.
Bloomberg 1–5 Year U.S. Government/Credit A+ Index is a market–value weighted index that tracks the total return results of fixed–rate, publicly placed, dollar–denominated obligations issued by the U.S. Treasury, U.S. government agencies, quasi–federal corporations, corporate or foreign debt guaranteed by the U.S. government, and U.S. corporate and foreign debentures and secured notes that meet specified maturity, liquidity and quality requirements, with maturities of one to five years, including A–rated securities and above.
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Capital market assumptions are long-term projections of the future performance of asset class returns based on their respective benchmark indexes or other proxies that incorporate analysis and observations. This analysis represents the views of a small group of investment professionals based on their individual research and are approved by the Capital Market Assumptions Oversight Committee. They should not be interpreted as the view of Capital Group as a whole. As Capital Group employs The Capital SystemTM, the views of other individual analysts and portfolio managers may differ from those presented here. They are provided for informational purposes only and are not intended to provide any assurance or promise of actual returns. They reflect long-term projections of asset class returns and are based on the respective benchmark indexes, or other proxies, and therefore do not include any outperformance gain or loss that may result from active portfolio management. Note that the actual results will be affected by any adjustments to the mix of asset classes. All market forecasts are subject to a wide margin of error.
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